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Global Defense Outlook: Trends, Regional, and Competitive Analysis

The defense market is a complex and dynamic industry that is constantly evolving. In general, the defense market refers to the manufacturing and selling of military hardware and equipment, as well as the provision of associated services such as training, maintenance, and logistics support.

According to BIS Research, the global defense outlook showcases the defense budget of 30 countries for the period 2023-2033. The cumulative defense budget is valued to be $29,031.67 billion for the period 2023-2033.

Highlights of the Global Defense Outlook:

  • On 20th April 2023, Rheinmetall Defence and Lockheed Martin entered into a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) to collaborate on tailored solutions to provide Germany with a unique rocket artillery system, maximizing existing and combat-proven components produced in Germany.
  • On 20th April 2023, BAE Systems signed a contract with Ritek AS to produce two new CV90 variants for the Swedish Armed Forces. The work will be carried out in cooperation with BAE Systems Hägglunds, with the delivery scheduled between 2023 and 2027.
  • On 19th April 2023, the U.S. Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) awarded BAE Systems with $8.3 million contract to develop an advanced autonomy system to speed operational planning under the Strategic Chaos Engine for Planning, Tactics, Experimentation, and Resiliency (SCEPTER) program. The program is designed to develop machine-generated strategies, evaluated within trusted simulation environments with thorough human review.
  • On 13th April 2023, Boeing unveiled its Protected Wideband Satellite (PWS) design featuring Boeing’s Protected Tactical SATCOM Prototype (PTS-P) payload and hosted aboard the U.S. Space Force’s Wideband Global SATCOM (WGS)-11 spacecraft with automated anti-jam capabilities to stay connected in a contested environment.
  • On 13th April 2023, Boeing and the Defense Acquisition Program Administration (DAPA) of the Republic of Korea (ROK) signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) to jointly research, develop, and market advanced weapons systems.
  • On 12th April 2023, Saab AB signed a contract with the Swedish Defence Materiel Administration (FMV) for the support and maintenance services for the JAS 39 Gripen C/D fighter aircraft. The order is valued at $29.93 million and ensures continued operation and a cost-effective solution regarding the maintenance and availability of the system.
  • On 14th February 2023, Thales Australia partnered with RGM Maintenance (RGM) and Queensland SME to help optimize and advance specialized heavy vehicle maintenance and regional access to services and maintenance of Land Materiel for the Australian Defence Force (ADF).
  • On 29th March 2023, the French Navy’s Lorraine multi-mission frigate enhanced with air defense capabilities (FREMM DA) which successfully fired the Aster 30 air defense missile.
  • On 28th March 2023, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) Support and Procurement Agency (NSPA) ordered an additional Airbus A330 Multi-Role Tanker Transport (MRTT), increasing the Multinational MRTT Fleet (MMF) to 10 aircraft.
  • On 10th January 2023, Airbus and VDL Groep signed a partnership for the manufacturing and development of a laser communication terminal for aircraft known as UltraAir. The two companies scheduled the preparation of a demonstration of the prototype’s first flight test in 2024.

 

Global Defense Outlook, Estimated Defense Budget, $Billion, 2023-2033

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North America Expected to Lead the Overall Defense Budget Over the Forecast Period 2023-2033

North America has historically been a major player in the global defense market, with the U.S. being the world's largest spender on defense with an estimated aggregate budget of $10.73 trillion in the forecast period of 2023-2033, growing at a CAGR of 2.51%. The region is home to some of the world's largest defense contractors, such as Lockheed Martin, Boeing, and Raytheon, which have extensive experience and expertise in the design, development, and production of military hardware and software.

To maintain its leadership position, North America will continue investing in research and development to develop cutting-edge technologies such as artificial intelligence, autonomous systems, and cyber defense. It will also continue developing strong partnerships and alliances with other countries to share expertise, resources, and intelligence.

Furthermore, North American defense contractors will need to be proactive in identifying emerging market trends and responding quickly to changing customer demands. This may require them to focus on diversification, innovation, and cost-effectiveness while also maintaining high levels of quality and reliability.

Overall, North America's leadership in the global defense market will depend on its ability to stay ahead of the curve and adapt to changing market conditions and technological advancements.

Global Defense Outlook-Estimated Cumulative Defense Budget, Top 30 Countries

Competitive Landscape

The competitive landscape of the global defense market consists of several organic and inorganic business strategies and is shaped by a range of factors, including market segmentation, customer preferences, strategic partnerships, market concentration, and technological innovation.

Some of the key players in the global defense market, such as Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Raytheon Technologies, Northrop Grumman, and General Dynamics, are able to navigate through these factors effectively, making them better positioned to strategically succeed in this dynamic and rapidly evolving industry.

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Conclusion

The global defense outlook is characterized by rapid change, driven by technological advancements, evolving security threats, and shifting geopolitical dynamics. Nations are investing heavily in modernizing their military forces, enhancing cyber and space capabilities, and embracing new technologies such as AI and autonomous systems. While challenges such as budget constraints, supply chain vulnerabilities, and the evolving nature of warfare persist, the defense sector is poised for continued growth and innovation. As countries navigate an increasingly complex security landscape, collaboration, adaptability, and a forward-looking approach will be key to ensuring national security and maintaining a strategic edge in the 21st century.

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